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Mortgage Applications Drop in Latest MBA Survey

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.8 percent--on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending Dec. 14, 2018, compared with one week earlier.

“Despite mortgage rates falling across the board last week to their lowest levels in three months, mortgage applications also declined, as more potential borrowers likely stayed away because of ongoing financial market volatility and economic uncertainty,” Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting for the MBA.

On an unadjusted basis, the index decreased 7 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 percent from the previous week. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 7 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 10 percent compared with the previous week and was 2 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

“Purchase applications decreased almost seven percent over the week and refinances decreased around two percent, led by a larger decline in government refinances compared to conventional refinances,” said Kan. “With rates continuing to slide lower, refinance borrowers with larger loan balances seemed more apt to take action. The average loan balance for refinance loans increased to its highest level since September 2017.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 43.5 percent of total applications, its highest level since February 2018, from 41.5 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage share of activity increased to 7.9 percent of total applications.

The Federal Housing Administration share of total applications decreased to 10.4 percent from 10.8 percent the week prior. The Department of Veteran Affairs share of total applications decreased to 9.9 percent from 10.2 percent the week prior. The Department of Agriculture share of total applications decreased to 0.6 percent compared with 0.7 percent a week earlier.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances of $453,100 or less decreased to its lowest level since September 2018, 4.94 percent, from 4.96 percent, with points decreasing to 0.43 from 0.48, including the origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances, greater than $453,100, decreased to its lowest level since September 2018, 4.74 percent from 4.80 percent, with points decreasing to 0.26 from 0.33, including the origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased to its lowest level since September 2018, 4.95 percent, from 4.97 percent, with points decreasing to 0.51 from 0.55, including the origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to its lowest level since September 2018, 4.37 percent, from 4.41 percent, with points decreasing to 0.37 from 0.44, including the origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased to its lowest level since September 2018, 4.17 percent, from 4.24 percent, with points increasing to 0.42 from 0.34, including the origination fee, for 80 percent loan-to-value loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

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