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August New Home Purchase Mortgage Applications Increased 33.3 Percent

WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 15, 2020) — The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Builder Application Survey (BAS) data for August 2020 shows mortgage applications for new home purchases increased 33.3 percent compared from a year ago. Compared to July 2020, applications decreased by 4 percent. This change does not include any adjustment for typical seasonal patterns.

“The housing market continued to exceed expectations in August, as housing demand for new homes stayed strong and the job market continued to recover,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. “Despite economic uncertainty and the pandemic’s distortion to typical seasonal patterns, the comparisons to August 2019 show strength. Purchase applications increased over 33 percent, and MBA’s estimate of new home sales were up over 11 percent. The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of sales was 871,000 units in August, the second strongest of the year and well above the 785,000 units sold a year ago.”

Added Kan, “The new home market has maintained its path of recovery throughout the summer, and record-low mortgage rates and households seeking more space will likely continue to drive demand into the fall.”

MBA’s chart in this months’ release shows the BAS estimate of new home sales in the blue bars against the U.S. Census Bureau series. The yellow line represents the revised/final estimates for the seasonally adjusted annualized rate, while the red line shows the initial Census estimates for May through July. MBA’s series, typically released a week or two in advance of the Census release, has thus far proven to be an accurate leading indicator of new home sales.

MBA estimates new single-family home sales were running at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 871,000 units in August 2020, based on data from the BAS. The new home sales estimate is derived using mortgage application information from the BAS, as well as assumptions regarding market coverage and other factors.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for August is a decrease of 2.1 percent from the July pace of 890,000 units. On an unadjusted basis, MBA estimates that there were 68,000 new home sales in August 2020, a decrease of 5.6 percent from 72,000 new home sales in July.

By product type, conventional loans composed 69.1 percent of loan applications, FHA loans composed 19.2 percent, RHS/USDA loans composed 1.1 percent and VA loans composed 10.5 percent. The average loan size of new homes increased from $345,929 in July to $348,576 in August.

MBA’s Builder Application Survey tracks application volume from mortgage subsidiaries of home builders across the country. Utilizing this data, as well as data from other sources, MBA is able to provide an early estimate of new home sales volumes at the national, state, and metro level. This data also provides information regarding the types of loans used by new home buyers. Official new home sales estimates are conducted by the Census Bureau on a monthly basis. In that data, new home sales are recorded at contract signing, which is typically coincident with the mortgage application.

For additional information on MBA’s Builder Application Survey, please click here.

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Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Declines to 7.01%

WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 14, 2020) — The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Forbearance and Call Volume Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 15 basis points from 7.16% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 7.01% as of September 6, 2020. According to MBA’s estimate, 3.5 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.

The share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance dropped for the 14th week in a row to 4.65% – a 15-basis-point improvement. Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance decreased 50 basis points to 9.12%, while the forbearance share for portfolio loans and private-label securities (PLS) increased by 28 basis points to 10.71%. The percentage of loans in forbearance for depository servicers decreased 19 basis points to 7.21%, while the percentage of loans in forbearance for independent mortgage bank (IMB) servicers decreased 8 basis points to 7.33%.

“The beginning of September brought another drop in the share of loans in forbearance, with declines in both GSE and Ginnie Mae forbearance shares. However, at least a portion of the decline in the Ginnie Mae share was due to servicers buying delinquent loans out of pools and placing them on their portfolios. As a result of this transfer, the share of portfolio loans in forbearance increased,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. “Forbearance requests increased over the week, particularly for Ginnie Mae loans. With just under 1 million unemployment insurance claims still being filed every week, the lack of additional fiscal support for the unemployed could lead to even higher increases of those needing forbearance.”

Key findings of MBA's Forbearance and Call Volume Survey – August 31 to September 6, 2020

  • Total loans in forbearance decreased by 15 basis points relative to the prior week: from 7.16% to 7.01%.
    • By investor type, the share of Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance decreased relative to the prior week: from 9.62% to 9.12%.
    • The share of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans in forbearance decreased relative to the prior week: from 4.80% to 4.65%.
    • The share of other loans (e.g., portfolio and PLS loans) in forbearance increased relative to the prior week: from 10.43% to 10.71%.
  • By stage, 33.69% of total loans in forbearance are in the initial forbearance plan stage, while 65.35% are in a forbearance extension. The remaining 0.96% are forbearance re-entries.
  • Total weekly forbearance requests as a percent of servicing portfolio volume (#) increased relative to the prior week: from 0.09% to 0.11%.
  • Weekly servicer call center volume:
    • As a percent of servicing portfolio volume (#), calls increased from 7.2% to 8.7%.
    • Average speed to answer increased from 2.4 minutes to 3.3 minutes.
    • Abandonment rates increased from 5.1% to 7.3%.
    • Average call length decreased from 7.8 minutes to 7.7 minutes.
  • Loans in forbearance as a share of servicing portfolio volume (#) as of September 6, 2020:
    • Total: 7.01% (previous week: 7.16%)
    • IMBs: 7.33% (previous week: 7.41%)
    • Depositories: 7.21% (previous week: 7.40%)

MBA’s latest Forbearance and Call Volume Survey covers the period from August 31 through September 6, 2020, and represents 74% of the first-mortgage servicing market (37.1 million loans).

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Lenders Gain New Visibility into Mortgage and Appraisal Data Trends with Reggora and GoodData Partnership

BOSTON, September 16, 2020 - Reggora, an appraisal software company that is modernizing the residential real estate valuation experience for lenders, appraisers, and borrowers, announces a new partnership with GoodData, a leader in embedded analytics solutions. Together, Reggora and GoodData will help mortgage lenders unlock access to the wealth of knowledge contained within their appraisal operations data to more strategically manage their appraisal logistics and vendors.

Residential appraisal reports typically contain over a thousand data points about the properties being appraised on behalf of mortgage lenders. In addition to the appraisal report itself is data around the appraisal process and appraiser, such as how quickly a bid is accepted, duration to deliver the completed report, quality of the report, overall turn time, and more. When all of this data is combined and analyzed, lenders can become more strategic in their appraisal workflows and improve relationships with appraisal vendors.

With the Reggora and GoodData integration, lenders can explore their data using a simple drag and drop interface. Dynamic reports with granular details and custom funnels can help identify trends such as turn time bottlenecks or payment processing errors. Details of how the product works and example use cases can be found in this blog post.

“As part of our mission to drastically reduce turn-times and help the industry deliver a seamless one-click mortgage, we’re excited to empower our lender customers with more valuable and actionable data,” says Reggora co-founder and chief technology officer, Will Denslow. “As we look forward, this data opens the door for us to offer even more customized automation and intelligence across our appraisal platform.”

“GoodData has partnered with some of the most innovative software companies in the world and we are thrilled to be working with Reggora on their mission to deliver world class analytics to their lender customers. We look forward to being a part of their journey to change the real estate valuation experience”, says GoodData co-founder and CEO, Roman Stanek.

 

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